Final PMI services indices released today in the Euro zone
confirmed that economic activity could pick up in H2 ’13, even if at moderate
pace.
Euro zone PMI services index rose from 49.8 in July to 50.7 in August,
lower than flash estimate at 51.0. Composite index rose from 50.5 to 51.5,
lower than flash estimate at 51.7.
According to our calculations, the past
relationship between the PMI composite and the overall economy indicates, the
August PMI corresponds to a 0.5% y/y GDP growth in Q4 ’13.
National services
indices signaled that services index expanded in Germany (at 52.8 in August)
but continued to contract in France (48.9 in August – 12 month high) and Italy
(48.8).
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento